Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances

Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances, Volume 1, provides a critical examination of the shifting landscape of global science and technology. As advanced technologies become more commercially accessible, the potential for military application increases, posing significant challenges to established technological superiority. This computer and technology focused report, authored by the National Research Council, addresses the urgent need for the intelligence community to provide effective warnings regarding evolving, critical technologies.

This first volume analyzes the assessment of emerging technologies and explores how potential adversaries might disrupt these advancements. By identifying specific indicators, the text helps intelligence professionals determine if disruptive methods are currently under development. Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances, Volume 1, serves as a foundational resource for establishing long-term strategies within the technology warning community to mitigate future risks in an increasingly complex digital and technological world.